In September, TEBA inflation expectations declined across all three indicators compared to the previous month. The survey data suggest that the drop in headline inflation figures has begun to influence household expectations. The change in 12-month forward expectations aligns with the Central Bank of Turkey's (CBRT) sectoral inflation expectations survey. 2 The CBRT survey recorded a decline in household expectations in September, following the increases seen in July and August, with a similar trend observed in the TEBA survey. However, the average expectation level in the TEBA survey remains significantly higher.
September 2024In August, TEBA's annual inflation expectations remained unchanged from the previous month. Yearend and 12-month inflation expectations increased slightly to 96% and 101% respectively. The change in 12-month forward expectations aligns with the Central Bank of Turkey's (CBRT) sectoral inflation expectations survey released in August.2 Over the past two months, a similar rise in household expectations has been noted in the CBRT survey. However, the expectation levels in the TEBA survey remain higher. Although headline inflation dropped by 10 points compared to the previous month, inflation expectations have not eased accordingly. This suggests that respondents are more influenced by the ongoing monthly inflation trend and perceived inflation rather than by the effects of base-level changes.
August 2024In July, TEBA's annual and year-end inflation expectations remained unchanged from the previous month. 12-month inflation expectations slightly increased to 100%. Analyzing the trend of inflation expectations implied by TEBA, the survey results indicate a 20-point decrease from July 2024 to December 2024. However, year-ahead expectations suggests a slight upward trend in inflation during the first half of 2025.
July 2024In June, TEBA's annual and year-end inflation expectations remained unchanged from the previous month. The peak value of headline inflation in May, combined with the deterioration in economic confidence might have been influential in shaping household inflation expectations this month. The deterioration in overall economic sentiment seems to have halted the decline in TEBA observed in the previous month.
July 2024Household annual inflation expectations decreased by 6 points in May compared to the previous month, falling to 113%. Household year-end inflation expectations decreased by 4 points in May compared to the previous month, falling to 92%. Looking at the course of household inflation expectations for the rest of the year, household inflation expectations reflect a 21-point decrease in inflation in the May-December period.
May 2024Household year-end inflation expectations increased from 72% to 96% in the January 2024-April 2024 period. This change is beyond the increase observed in the headline inflation figure in the first quarter of the year. The average year-end inflation expectation of 72% that we measured for January 2024 is lower than the results of the Consumer Tendency Survey shown in box 3.1 in the CBRT's first inflation report of 2024. The Consumer Tendency Survey indicates that 12-month ahead household inflation expectations are around 80% as of January 2024.
April 2024In the run-up to the general elections, we have subjected the poll results we announced on May 11th to a comprehensive examination of the inaccuracy of the results beyond the margin of error. We called this process BIOPSY. In this study, we questioned everything from method selection to sample design, from field methods to weighting methods.
December 2023The content of the report reflects the opinions and preferences of the people interviewed. Face-toface interviews were carried out in households of select regions during the period 22-24 October 2021. The findings on pandemic practices and time use were compared with the findings of similar research we carried out in May 2020 and April 2018. In this way, we tried to understand the changing practices of society before the pandemic, during the pandemic restrictions and after the pandemic restrictions.
April 2022The Life-Styles Survey is the most-debated, most commonly referenced survey of KONDA, both in the press and in academia. The survey was modelled on perceptions, fears, expectations, political preferences, values, demographic characteristics and daily life-practices.
January 2020We are sharing this report with the public following the re-run of the Istanbul Metropolitan Mayoral election. It consists of two main parts and in the first part, “ballotbox analysis”, the results of the June 23rd election is compared, at the neighborhood and district levels, with those of March 31st Local Elections and June 24th 2018 General Elections. Besides the actual outcome, the “political profiles” part is based on three field surveys representative of Istanbul and allows you to examine how candidate preferences have changed in various social clusters.
June 2019This report on the theme of ‘Polarization in Turkey’ was part of the Konda January’19 Barometer survey and is shared with the public within the legal framework of the contract we have with our subscribers.
January 2019This report on the theme of ‘Populist Behavior, Negative Identification and Conspiracism’ was part of the Konda November’18 Barometer survey and is shared with the public within the legal framework of the contract we have with our subscribers.
November 2018