Analyses of the April 16th Referendum Results and the Electorate

The April’17 Barometer Report covers the analysis of data obtained by the survey conducted on 8-9 April 2017 by face-to-face interviews with 3555 people in their homes in 199 neighborhoods and villages of 129 districts of 30 provinces including the central districts as well as the district-based electoral results of the 16 April referendum.

Election Analysis section covers the multi-dimensional analysis of the district-based data of the 16 April referendum;

This extensive section covers the analysis of the distribution of the “yes/no” rates in terms of regions, provinces, districts and residential types through various mapping methods; comparison of these rates with 1 November and 7 June 2015 elections; the effect of the distribution of the electoral turnout and the invalid votes to the general electoral arithmetic, the distribution of the votes in terms of population characteristics and the analysis about the correlation among these characteristics.

As is known, our survey results which we first shared with our subscribers and then with the public 3 days before the referendum, completely overlap with the electoral result. Since this shows the accuracy of our survey data, the following analysis also reveals the social situation that is the closest to reality.



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